Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 22

Season: 437-513 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$26.77
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$5.99
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice