Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 107-132 (44.8%) · ROI: -0.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.9%
Edge
+19.3%
+18.3% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$77.26
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
81.8%
Edge
+15.1%
+14.6% consensus
Odds
-200
Book
Stake
$113.58
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+12.6%
+11.7% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$53.89
Chicago Cubs home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 6:20 PM
Prob
55.1%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$35.61
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
42.7%
Edge
+7.1%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$27.49
Updated 1:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice