Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 4

Season: 357-413 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Cleveland Guardians away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Houston Astros home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 1:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice