Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 25

Season: 457-528 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 4:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$7.53
Updated 5:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice