Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 22

Season: 299-335 (47.2%) · ROI: -1.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+172
Book
Stake
$35.09
Washington Nationals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+4.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-162
Book
Stake
$31.69
San Francisco Giants home
vs Chicago White Sox · 2:15 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Colorado Rockies away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+2.9%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+200
Book
Stake
$10.83
San Diego Padres home
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 3:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice