Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 27

Season: 620-691 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$53.78
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$40.82
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Updated 12:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice