Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 210-228 (48.0%) · ROI: -0.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$39.73
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$23.11
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Seattle Mariners home
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 10:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice