Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$46.76
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$25.85
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+5.1%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$20.91
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Colorado Rockies home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Updated 5:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice