Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
64.0%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$54.65
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$50.27
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+8.0%
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$40.42
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
68.0%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$46.00
Updated 7:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice