Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing

Kansas City Royals home

vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM

Prob

63.2%

Edge

+12.2%

Odds

-104

Book

Stake

$62.17

St. Louis Cardinals away

vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM

Prob

55.4%

Edge

+9.1%

+8.6% consensus

Odds

+116

Book

Stake

$42.47

Tampa Bay Rays home

vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM

Prob

63.0%

Edge

+8.3%

Odds

-121

Book

Stake

$45.74

Updated 8:07 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice