Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 560-629 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$21.13
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Houston Astros home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 4:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice