Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 495-570 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Updated 10:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice