Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 199-217 (47.8%) · ROI: -0.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+0.8%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$3.83
Updated 9:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice