Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 18

Season: 568-635 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 7:05 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-162
Book
Stake
$31.69
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Yankees · 12:08 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Chicago White Sox away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 8:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice