Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 28

Season: 625-695 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+164
Book
Stake
$31.23
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Texas Rangers away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Updated 7:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice