Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 300-338 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$35.17
Detroit Tigers away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$20.99
New York Mets away
vs Miami Marlins · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 7:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Cincinnati Reds home
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 5:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 4:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice