Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 27

Season: 621-691 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+178
Book
Stake
$41.89
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+8.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$33.47
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 10:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice