Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 103-128 (44.6%) · ROI: -0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 6:10 PM
Prob
73.3%
Edge
+16.4%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$94.91
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.9%
Edge
+15.1%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$63.67
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Houston Astros · 5:10 PM
Prob
65.6%
Edge
+8.7%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$50.54
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 4:10 PM
Prob
52.9%
Edge
+7.5%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$34.31
Updated 1:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice