Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 25

Season: 457-528 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.84
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.6%
+0.4% consensus
Odds
-165
Book
Stake
$10.37
Updated 3:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice