Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 432-505 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Miami Marlins home
vs San Francisco Giants · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$44.62
New York Yankees home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:35 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$46.89
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Boston Red Sox away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Updated 10:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice