Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 14

Season: 406-463 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
New York Yankees away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$35.14
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 2:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice