Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 593-668 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$18.57
Atlanta Braves home
vs San Diego Padres · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$5.83
Updated 10:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice