Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 414-479 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 6:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+10.0%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$50.79
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 4:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$35.81
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Athletics home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Updated 3:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice