Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 16

Season: 77-101 (43.3%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
47.0%
Edge
+16.7%
+16.2% consensus
Odds
+230
Book
Stake
$59.89
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:40 PM
Prob
64.7%
Edge
+9.1%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$51.38
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
60.3%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$41.68
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:10 PM
Prob
62.2%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$41.83
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
60.2%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$36.34
Updated 11:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice