Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 206-220 (48.4%) · ROI: +1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$43.14
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Atlanta Braves away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.3%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$22.28
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Washington Nationals home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 5:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.3%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$14.72
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 4:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Seattle Mariners home
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.4%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$2.40
Updated 6:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice