Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 7

Season: 376-426 (46.9%) · ROI: -2.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:30 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$13.01
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
New York Mets away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.8%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$9.50
Updated 2:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice