Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 452-526 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Houston Astros · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$15.64
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$10.15
Updated 1:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice