Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.2%
Edge
+13.2%
+12.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$65.85
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.3%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$47.49
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.2%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$46.90
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
66.3%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$39.56
Updated 8:21 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice