Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 572-643 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$38.38
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Atlanta Braves home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Colorado Rockies home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.1%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$17.25
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+2.0%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$8.03
Updated 6:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice