Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 594-669 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$18.57
Atlanta Braves home
vs San Diego Padres · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice