Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 68-80 (46.0%) · ROI: +5.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.6%
Edge
+22.1%
+21.5% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$89.98
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+21.0%
+20.4% consensus
Odds
+167
Book
Stake
$84.04
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
66.0%
Edge
+20.2%
+18.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$93.10
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
57.1%
Edge
+16.3%
+15.7% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$68.70
Washington Nationals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
44.2%
Edge
+10.8%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+200
Book
Stake
$40.68
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$29.81
Updated 10:11 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice