Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 530-607 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+228
Book
Stake
$30.83
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Texas Rangers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.3%
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.21
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Atlanta Braves · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Detroit Tigers home
vs Athletics · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-138
Book
Stake
$17.59
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$11.28
Updated 2:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice