Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 607-678 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$34.02
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 4:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice