Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 13

Season: 403-462 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Athletics home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:05 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$41.69
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
San Francisco Giants home
vs Chicago Cubs · 2:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 2:07 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Athletics home
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:05 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
-178
Book
Stake
$18.36
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 2:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice