Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+20.3%
+19.7% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$83.47
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
57.1%
Edge
+17.9%
+16.8% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$73.60
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
50.7%
Edge
+11.5%
+10.7% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$47.36
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
68.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$60.76
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.1%
Edge
+8.7%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$39.67
Updated 9:31 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice