Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 2

Season: 499-574 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$54.41
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-124
Book
Stake
$47.45
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$38.41
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Chicago White Sox · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Updated 9:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice