Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-118 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
60.3%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$55.46
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 3:10 PM
Prob
56.8%
Edge
+11.1%
+10.5% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$51.01
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.5%
Edge
+8.8%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$48.45
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Houston Astros · 10:10 PM
Prob
60.4%
Edge
+7.1%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$38.09
Updated 2:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice