Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 182-191 (48.8%) · ROI: +1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$35.23
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:15 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$19.72
San Diego Padres home
vs Chicago White Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.15
Kansas City Royals away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Washington Nationals home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 10:45 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice