Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 13

Season: 401-459 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:05 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$41.69
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Updated 6:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice