Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 12

Season: 396-456 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.1%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$17.25
Athletics home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:05 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-170
Book
Stake
$25.02
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 3:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice