Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 266-305 (46.6%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 2:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice