Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 526-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$44.62
Kansas City Royals away
vs New York Mets · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+8.8%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+230
Book
Stake
$31.41
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Texas Rangers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.3%
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.21
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Atlanta Braves · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$22.93
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Updated 12:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice