Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 636-703 (47.5%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Houston Astros away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$28.90
Atlanta Braves home
vs Washington Nationals · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$29.96
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
New York Yankees away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.9%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$8.21
Updated 1:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice