Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 514-589 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 7:30 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:30 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 7:30 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$18.57
Updated 9:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice