Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 471-545 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 7:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
New York Mets home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.3%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$13.97
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-157
Book
Stake
$17.61
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.66
Updated 4:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice