Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 182-191 (48.8%) · ROI: +1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$35.14
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Kansas City Royals away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 10:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice