Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 21

Season: 96-124 (43.6%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.0%
Edge
+19.9%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$87.64
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
62.4%
Edge
+19.8%
+18.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$86.28
Boston Red Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM
Prob
62.7%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$44.69
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
62.4%
Edge
+7.7%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$42.32
New York Mets home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.5%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$43.13
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
56.8%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$34.20
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Houston Astros · 10:10 PM
Prob
66.2%
Edge
+5.4%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$34.33
Updated 9:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice