Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 192-207 (48.1%) · ROI: +0.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+159
Book
Stake
$28.63
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+103
Book
Stake
$19.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 9:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice