Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 7

Season: 376-426 (46.9%) · ROI: -2.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 6:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$50.16
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$25.41
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+184
Book
Stake
$14.85
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:30 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 5:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice