Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 631-699 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 4:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$18.50
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Texas Rangers away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.2%
+0.6% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$5.38
Updated 5:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice