Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+20.3%
+19.8% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$83.47
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
56.7%
Edge
+17.5%
+16.3% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$71.87
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
68.1%
Edge
+11.5%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$66.34
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
50.7%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.5% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$46.32
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.1%
Edge
+9.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$42.00
Updated 10:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice