Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 581-656 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 11:40 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$50.02
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$42.98
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+129
Book
Stake
$8.75
Seattle Mariners home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$9.25
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.2%
Odds
-167
Book
Stake
$8.23
Updated 3:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice