Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 16

Season: 77-101 (43.3%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
46.2%
Edge
+14.4%
+13.1% consensus
Odds
+215
Book
Stake
$52.80
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:40 PM
Prob
65.5%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$55.02
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
64.4%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$48.69
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
61.4%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$39.36
Updated 4:51 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice