Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
59.9%
Edge
+16.4%
+15.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$72.50
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+15.9%
+15.4% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$66.10
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.1%
Edge
+15.5%
+14.3% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$61.96
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$30.38
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+7.5%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$34.45
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.8%
Edge
+7.1%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.78
Athletics away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
50.1%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$30.74
Updated 9:01 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice