Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 300-338 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$33.22
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 7:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$18.05
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
New York Mets away
vs Miami Marlins · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 5:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice