Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 300-338 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$32.23
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$38.10
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cincinnati Reds home
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 5:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.9%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$19.52
Detroit Tigers away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 7:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Updated 1:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice