Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 432-505 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.6%
+10.8% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$60.75
Miami Marlins home
vs San Francisco Giants · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$44.62
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Boston Red Sox away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$30.36
Updated 2:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice