Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 22

Season: 437-513 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+6.1%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$28.60
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$5.99
Updated 9:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice