Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-475 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 10:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice