Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 26

Season: 462-531 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
New York Mets home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$13.97
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$12.25
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$10.02
Updated 10:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice