Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 18

Season: 570-638 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Detroit Tigers · 2:07 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$31.73
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$9.50
Houston Astros home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+0.5% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Athletics home
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$3.83
Updated 10:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice