Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 18

Season: 87-108 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:10 PM
Prob
68.2%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$65.33
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+11.2%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$49.68
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
51.1%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Stake
$41.83
Miami Marlins home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
59.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$41.03
Chicago White Sox away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
49.3%
Edge
+7.5%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$32.11
San Diego Padres away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
57.1%
Edge
+5.2%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$26.97
Updated 3:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice