Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 192-208 (48.0%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+159
Book
Stake
$28.63
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+103
Book
Stake
$19.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+2.7%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$10.59
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+0.9%
-0.1% consensus
Odds
-170
Book
Stake
$5.85
Updated 1:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice