Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 525-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.7%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$36.97
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$23.33
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 10:45 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 4:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice