Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 631-699 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Washington Nationals home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 4:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$19.72
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$10.02
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 1:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice