Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 546-618 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$38.37
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Miami Marlins · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$8.33
Updated 4:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice