Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 16

Season: 77-101 (43.3%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:40 PM
Prob
70.7%
Edge
+15.1%
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$84.91
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
66.8%
Edge
+11.3%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$63.36
Los Angeles Angels away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
39.7%
Edge
+10.7%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
+245
Book
Stake
$37.72
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:10 PM
Prob
62.2%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$36.15
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
60.2%
Edge
+6.1%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$33.36
Updated 3:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice