Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 546-618 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$38.37
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$22.93
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 1:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice