Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 469-541 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$54.19
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:05 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$39.70
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$15.33
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Athletics · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 1:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice