Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 209-227 (47.9%) · ROI: +0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$39.73
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Atlanta Braves away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Seattle Mariners home
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 10:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice