Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 531-611 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.8%
Edge
+7.0%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$44.85
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Atlanta Braves · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 12:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice