Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 26

Season: 615-685 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.5%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
-124
Book
Stake
$47.45
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$13.81
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 8:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice