Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 531-611 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$34.02
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.8%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$40.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 6:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice