Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Chicago White Sox away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 4:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice