Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 20

Season: 285-324 (46.8%) · ROI: -1.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$36.83
New York Mets away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$32.41
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 7:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice