Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 27

Season: 621-691 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
-113
Book
Stake
$57.39
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+178
Book
Stake
$41.89
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+8.7%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$35.00
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Houston Astros away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 11:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice