Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, May 14

Season: 252-290 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Miami Marlins away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.7%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$36.97
Detroit Tigers away
vs New York Mets · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 4:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice