Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 301-339 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$27.92
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+5.2%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$29.31
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 7:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
New York Mets away
vs Miami Marlins · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 9:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice