Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, May 4

Season: 210-231 (47.6%) · ROI: -1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+11.6%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$49.86
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$40.61
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+179
Book
Stake
$38.18
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
San Diego Padres away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Updated 12:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice