Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 18

Season: 87-108 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
68.3%
Edge
+15.9%
+15.2% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$83.42
Chicago White Sox away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+11.4%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$48.66
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+10.9%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$48.32
Minnesota Twins home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:10 PM
Prob
65.8%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$53.35
Chicago Cubs home
vs New York Mets · 6:20 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+7.7%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$40.32
Updated 7:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice