Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 467-537 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.6%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$46.12
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$39.73
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
+168
Book
Stake
$33.21
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$50.02
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$15.33
Updated 8:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice