Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 192-207 (48.1%) · ROI: +0.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+159
Book
Stake
$28.63
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+103
Book
Stake
$19.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+0.1%
Odds
-176
Book
Stake
$0.43
Updated 11:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice