Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 25

Season: 459-529 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.4%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$60.11
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+10.0%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$50.79
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 12:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice