Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 28

Season: 624-695 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Houston Astros away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
41.5%
Edge
+4.5%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$17.92
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$15.62
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Updated 4:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice