Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 3

Season: 502-577 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.9%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$20.02
San Francisco Giants away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 2:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice