Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 517-592 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.0%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.36
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:30 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$23.57
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$25.41
Updated 3:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice