Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 19

Season: 424-494 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+228
Book
Stake
$30.83
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.2%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$5.71
Updated 10:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice