Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 496-574 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
San Diego Padres away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$32.23
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 4:35 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$26.77
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Updated 3:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice