Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 13

Season: 247-285 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Miami Marlins away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$23.33
Detroit Tigers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
San Diego Padres away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 8:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice