Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 420-489 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
Athletics home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-129
Book
Stake
$26.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$20.99
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 11:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice