Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 26

Season: 462-531 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-156
Book
Stake
$18.51
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$10.02
Updated 6:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice