Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, May 4

Season: 210-231 (47.6%) · ROI: -1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+12.1%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+198
Book
Stake
$45.46
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.9%
+10.2% consensus
Odds
+179
Book
Stake
$42.31
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+179
Book
Stake
$38.18
San Diego Padres away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
-144
Book
Stake
$29.36
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Updated 5:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice