Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 12

Season: 554-625 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Minnesota Twins home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 6:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$25.41
New York Yankees away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Miami Marlins home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 3:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice