Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 8

Season: 379-436 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Seattle Mariners away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+8.8%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+164
Book
Stake
$35.50
Seattle Mariners away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
New York Yankees away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Chicago Cubs away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Washington Nationals away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
San Diego Padres home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Atlanta Braves away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Boston Red Sox away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Texas Rangers away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 1:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice