Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.26
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$13.69
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.2%
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$5.38
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$5.08
Updated 5:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice