Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 13

Season: 401-459 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+8.7%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$33.93
Athletics home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:05 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$41.69
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Updated 9:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice