Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 572-641 (47.2%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Athletics home
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Colorado Rockies home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+0.8%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$3.83
Updated 4:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice