Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 22

Season: 441-514 (46.2%) · ROI: -4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$11.17
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$5.99
Updated 2:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice