Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 15

Season: 73-95 (43.5%) · ROI: -0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 5:15 PM
Prob
68.0%
Edge
+17.5%
+16.7% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$88.45
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 4:35 PM
Prob
58.8%
Edge
+16.2%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$70.70
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
61.1%
Edge
+13.9%
+13.4% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$65.83
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
43.9%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+190
Book
Stake
$36.01
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.6%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$39.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
60.7%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$41.60
Washington Nationals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
47.0%
Edge
+7.3%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$30.25
Updated 1:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice