Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$25.85
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+0.9%
Odds
-170
Book
Stake
$5.85
Updated 10:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice