Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 262-301 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 8:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice