Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-475 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.4%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$45.47
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.00
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-138
Book
Stake
$17.59
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 1:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice