Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 525-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$53.78
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$38.41
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 10:45 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 11:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice