Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 30

Season: 337-377 (47.2%) · ROI: -1.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Atlanta Braves away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Chicago White Sox home
vs Detroit Tigers · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Houston Astros · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-113
Book
Stake
$13.36
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-162
Book
Stake
$12.76
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 7:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice