Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 303-344 (46.8%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$27.92
Miami Marlins home
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+146
Book
Stake
$21.02
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Athletics away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Washington Nationals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
San Francisco Giants home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+1.0%
Odds
-191
Book
Stake
$7.52
Updated 3:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice