Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 412-476 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Athletics home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$22.93
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Updated 2:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice