Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 531-611 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$34.02
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.8%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$40.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 3:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice