Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 466-536 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$40.61
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+164
Book
Stake
$31.23
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.4%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.68
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 6:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice