Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 26

Season: 462-531 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$32.89
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
New York Mets home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-159
Book
Stake
$15.48
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 11:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice