Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 6

Season: 43-51 (45.7%) · ROI: +9.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
CIN away
vs MIA · 10:40 PM
Prob
58.8%
Edge
+13.8%
+11.6% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$62.57
LAA home
vs ATL · 1:38 AM
Prob
48.1%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$37.04
STL away
vs WSH · 10:45 PM
Prob
58.6%
Edge
+7.7%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$39.06
MIL away
vs BOS · 10:45 PM
Prob
58.6%
Edge
+7.6%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$38.61
COL home
vs HOU · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.4%
Edge
+7.3%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$30.06
CHC away
vs TB · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+7.2%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$34.03
Updated 4:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice