Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 572-643 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.3%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$38.38
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Atlanta Braves home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Colorado Rockies home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.1%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$17.25
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Athletics home
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:07 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$8.21
Updated 4:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice