Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
57.8%
Edge
+20.8%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$82.60
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+14.9%
+14.4% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$70.70
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
+11.6% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$49.28
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
68.8%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
-146
Book
Stake
$58.06
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
42.4%
Edge
+8.7%
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$32.68
Washington Nationals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
43.0%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$23.60
Updated 10:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice