Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 468-538 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
47.4%
Edge
+11.4%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
+178
Book
Stake
$44.51
Chicago Cubs away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.6%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$46.12
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
-136
Book
Stake
$53.35
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:05 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
Updated 10:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice