Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 492-567 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 5:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice