Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 574-646 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$38.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Colorado Rockies home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:07 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$8.03
Updated 8:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice