Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 27

Season: 323-360 (47.3%) · ROI: -1.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.9%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$47.40
San Diego Padres home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$43.14
Seattle Mariners away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Detroit Tigers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$42.98
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Chicago White Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Kansas City Royals home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 4:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice