Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.5%
Edge
+17.6%
+16.7% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$77.18
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+11.7%
+11.1% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$48.57
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$43.03
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+8.8%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+203
Book
Stake
$32.94
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
46.1%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$32.54
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$36.05
Updated 12:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice