Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 17

Season: 419-482 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+157
Book
Stake
$27.54
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$15.62
Atlanta Braves home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
-138
Book
Stake
$17.59
Colorado Rockies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+2.7%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$10.59
Updated 9:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice