Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 7

Season: 520-595 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+178
Book
Stake
$37.75
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$34.09
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$24.11
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 5:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice