Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 92-115 (44.4%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs San Diego Padres · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+20.1%
+19.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$88.82
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
76.5%
Edge
+16.5%
+15.3% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$103.06
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
59.8%
Edge
+14.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$67.66
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
49.1%
Edge
+13.5%
+13.0% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$52.29
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
64.4%
Edge
+13.4%
+12.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$68.49
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 8:10 PM
Prob
57.1%
Edge
+7.1%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$35.55
Updated 9:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice