Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 471-545 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 7:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$56.49
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
New York Mets home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-157
Book
Stake
$17.61
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-159
Book
Stake
$15.48
Updated 4:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice