Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 14

Season: 406-463 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
New York Yankees away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$35.14
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.1%
+0.6% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$5.99
Updated 2:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice