Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+25.3%
+23.8% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$102.86
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+19.0%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$81.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:35 PM
Prob
61.4%
Edge
+16.6%
+17.1% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$75.14
Athletics away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
56.5%
Edge
+15.7%
+15.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$66.17
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
72.5%
Edge
+15.1%
+13.8% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$88.73
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+14.3%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$68.37
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
+11.7% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$49.28
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+12.1%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$59.30
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$35.14
Washington Nationals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
43.5%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+190
Book
Stake
$34.41
Updated 5:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice