Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 482-557 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.5% consensus
Odds
+189
Book
Stake
$42.20
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$50.79
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$20.52
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 3:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice