Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 12

Season: 554-625 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$37.12
Minnesota Twins home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 6:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$25.41
San Francisco Giants home
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$15.64
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 12:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice