Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 539-614 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$50.97
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.6%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+129
Book
Stake
$42.75
Texas Rangers home
vs Houston Astros · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$39.21
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Athletics away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 6:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice