Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 28

Season: 625-695 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 4:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice