Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 19

Season: 424-493 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Seattle Mariners home
vs Boston Red Sox · 2:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$39.92
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Updated 10:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice