Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 17

Season: 83-105 (44.1%) · ROI: -0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
51.8%
Edge
+24.5%
+23.9% consensus
Odds
+265
Book
Stake
$84.20
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.1%
Edge
+17.6%
+16.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$82.07
Los Angeles Angels home
vs San Diego Padres · 1:38 AM
Prob
71.6%
Edge
+14.7%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$85.28
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
58.8%
Edge
+12.9%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$59.53
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+11.4%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$47.71
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:15 PM
Prob
57.4%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$49.99
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+144
Book
Stake
$38.11
Boston Red Sox home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:10 PM
Prob
48.2%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$32.96
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
36.9%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$26.59
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
56.8%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$33.80
Updated 1:36 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice