Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$49.26
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 2:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice