Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 7

Season: 46-52 (46.9%) · ROI: +11.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.1%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$46.12
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$48.48
Chicago Cubs away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.1%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$41.72
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
51.1%
Edge
+8.2%
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$39.21
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Kansas City Royals · 10:10 PM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+7.7%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
BetMGM
Stake
$55.87
Minnesota Twins home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:40 PM
Prob
48.0%
Edge
+7.5%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$36.67
Updated 6:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice