Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 22

Season: 295-331 (47.1%) · ROI: -1.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Detroit Tigers away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Washington Nationals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
San Francisco Giants home
vs Chicago White Sox · 2:15 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
New York Mets away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$15.33
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-162
Book
Stake
$13.09
Updated 9:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice