Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 607-678 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice