Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 608-678 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$39.92
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
New York Mets home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:15 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.3%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$13.97
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 8:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice