Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$23.45
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$13.01
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 9:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice