Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 21

Season: 101-127 (44.3%) · ROI: -0.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 7:07 PM
Prob
55.8%
Edge
+13.3%
+12.4% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$57.69
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
74.3%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
-176
Book
Stake
$72.74
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
52.7%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$43.33
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
50.4%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$36.62
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 4:10 PM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$35.75
Texas Rangers home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:05 AM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$34.41
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 1:38 AM
Prob
59.1%
Edge
+6.3%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$33.28
Updated 3:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice