Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 21

Season: 100-125 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
62.4%
Edge
+18.9%
+18.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$83.60
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 7:07 PM
Prob
55.8%
Edge
+13.3%
+12.4% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$57.69
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
74.3%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
-176
Book
Stake
$72.74
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
52.7%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$43.33
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
50.4%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Stake
$38.51
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 4:10 PM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$35.75
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
62.4%
Edge
+6.7%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$37.62
Texas Rangers home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:05 AM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$34.41
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 1:38 AM
Prob
59.1%
Edge
+6.3%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$33.28
Updated 2:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice