Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 105-132 (44.3%) · ROI: -1.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.9%
Edge
+19.3%
+18.3% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$77.26
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
81.8%
Edge
+15.1%
+14.5% consensus
Odds
-200
Book
Stake
$113.58
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+12.6%
+11.7% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$53.89
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
68.9%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$55.87
Chicago Cubs home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 6:20 PM
Prob
55.1%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$35.61
Detroit Tigers home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 10:40 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$42.65
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
42.7%
Edge
+7.1%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$27.49
Updated 12:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice