Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-517 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$16.69
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 1:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice