Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+16.0%
+14.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$76.46
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
49.6%
Edge
+11.8%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$47.48
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
61.3%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$51.87
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
61.5%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$37.45
Updated 5:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice