Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, May 14

Season: 256-294 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$25.28
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 3:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice