Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 182-191 (48.8%) · ROI: +1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Kansas City Royals away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 12:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice