Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 7

Season: 520-595 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$28.90
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$18.50
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+3.9%
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$13.88
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 9:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice