Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 560-629 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Chicago White Sox away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Chicago Cubs home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-141
Book
Stake
$14.66
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 7:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice