Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 26

Season: 614-683 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+11.2%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+300
Book
Stake
$37.40
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Chicago White Sox home
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 10:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice