Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 16

Season: 82-102 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+9.1%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$41.98
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Atlanta Braves · 10:40 PM
Prob
59.2%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$42.07
Washington Nationals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:45 PM
Prob
50.2%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$35.33
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
36.3%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+252
Book
Stake
$27.63
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
51.7%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$30.23
Updated 3:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice