Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 360-417 (46.3%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+162
Book
Stake
$30.21
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 1:40 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+5.4%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$30.29
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 9:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice