Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 90-113 (44.3%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:40 PM
Prob
77.1%
Edge
+23.0%
+22.3% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$125.36
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
72.8%
Edge
+22.8%
+21.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$114.15
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
76.5%
Edge
+16.5%
+15.4% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$103.06
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
49.1%
Edge
+16.3%
+15.1% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$60.53
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
59.8%
Edge
+16.3%
+15.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$72.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
59.2%
Edge
+13.7%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$62.91
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$52.17
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$43.60
New York Mets away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
54.8%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$41.05
Updated 5:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice