Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 256-295 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:38 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+200
Book
Stake
$10.64
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Texas Rangers away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 1:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice