Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 572-643 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$35.81
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Atlanta Braves home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Athletics home
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Updated 12:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice