Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-67 (48.1%) · ROI: +10.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.2%
Edge
+11.8%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$52.07
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$51.29
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Minnesota Twins · 7:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$46.73
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
46.5%
Edge
+8.8%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.15
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
52.4%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$35.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+192
Book
Stake
$28.53
Updated 4:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice