Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 20

Season: 426-503 (45.9%) · ROI: -4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
40.2%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$15.71
Updated 12:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice