Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 607-678 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Updated 11:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice