Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
57.8%
Edge
+20.8%
+20.3% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$82.60
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+14.5%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$69.16
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
+11.5% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$49.28
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
42.4%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$35.90
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
68.8%
Edge
+8.8%
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$54.94
Washington Nationals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
43.0%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+188
Book
Stake
$31.63
Updated 1:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice