Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 513-587 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 7:00 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$35.07
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 7:30 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 7:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
New York Yankees home
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:35 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-127
Book
Stake
$28.33
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Updated 6:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice