Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Chicago White Sox away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$23.92
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 5:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice