Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 16

Season: 560-628 (47.1%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$16.69
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 6:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice