Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 6

Season: 366-422 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+9.6%
Odds
+275
Book
Stake
$32.57
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 2:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 11:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$16.00
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Atlanta Braves home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+1.7%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$9.25
Updated 4:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice