Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.2%
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.26
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$13.58
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$15.64
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$5.83
Updated 3:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice