Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 21

Season: 96-124 (43.6%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing

Washington Nationals home

vs Atlanta Braves · 10:45 PM

Prob

63.0%

Edge

+19.9%

Odds

+132

Book

Stake

$87.64

Colorado Rockies home

vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM

Prob

59.4%

Edge

+16.5%

+15.0% consensus

Odds

+133

Book

Stake

$72.18

Pittsburgh Pirates away

vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM

Prob

59.2%

Edge

+8.7%

+8.0% consensus

Odds

-102

Book

Stake

$43.86

Boston Red Sox home

vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM

Prob

62.7%

Edge

+8.1%

+7.2% consensus

Odds

-120

Book

Stake

$44.69

New York Mets home

vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM

Prob

67.5%

Edge

+6.8%

+5.9% consensus

Odds

-155

Book

Stake

$43.13

Updated 8:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice