Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 6

Season: 44-52 (45.8%) · ROI: +9.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
57.0%
Edge
+13.5%
+13.0% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
FanDuel
Stake
$63.41
San Diego Padres away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+11.1%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$48.16
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Atlanta Braves · 1:38 AM
Prob
48.1%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$40.61
Colorado Rockies home
vs Houston Astros · 12:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Hard Rock Bet
Stake
$32.65
San Francisco Giants home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 1:45 AM
Prob
50.1%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$34.89
Updated 2:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice