Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-72 (46.3%) · ROI: +7.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
74.8%
Edge
+37.0%
+35.7% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$148.70
New York Mets home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
80.0%
Edge
+18.5%
+17.8% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$120.32
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
65.9%
Edge
+16.2%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$80.39
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$36.37
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
48.4%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$30.71
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice