Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 199-215 (48.1%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Updated 7:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice