Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 598-676 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
San Diego Padres away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+245
Book
Stake
$15.29
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Updated 9:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice